SPEED STARS WEEKLY WRAP - 6TH FEBRUARY

Saturday 6th February

-2.2u at -27.5% POT

1 winner from 4 selections

25% Strike Rate

Winner: La Mexicana $2.90

Comments: We were very unlucky not to come away with a +11.6u day, Imaging had a very torrid run 3WNC the trip but had the audacity to eyeball Streets Of Avalon before going down very late.

 

Selection Review

Another One $3.000 (UNP) – this run has left a lot of people scratching their heads no doubt, based on his speed ratings, he was easily the highest rated runner of the field so the lacklustre performance was very unexpected.

Imperial Lad $6.70 (3rd) – in my preview I said that the strength of this horse would be being on pace with a good tempo on a dry track. He was on speed and got the dry track but his speed to the 400m was almost 4L slower than his last start which was a major negative as he does not have the late speed to match it with the likes of Regardsmaree. Unfortunately, it was another case of the trainer and jockey not knowing the horse.

La Mexicana $2.90 (1st for a 5.8u return) – a really nice performance despite being around 1.5L slower than her first up win, hard the rail in the straight was the worst place to be with as much as 5L disadvantage compared to the horses that were out wide so the run was better than it appeared.

Imaging $6.90 (2nd 0.5L from a 13.8u return) – this was an exceptional performance given that he was 3WNC the entire race but Williams had no choice but to stay there, if he went back for cover he would have been absolutely no chance as he would have been a further 3-5L back. With the 2 turns at Caulfield over the 1400m, he would have run at least 5-6m further than SOA which equates to around 2L, a more economical run would have seen him win quite comfortably.

Saturday 6th February

-2.2u at -27.5% POT

1 winner from 4 selections

25% Strike Rate

Winner: La Mexicana $2.90

Comments: We were very unlucky not to come away with a +11.6u day, Imaging had a very torrid run 3WNC the trip but had the audacity to eyeball Streets Of Avalon before going down very late.

 

Selection Review

Another One $3.000 (UNP) – this run has left a lot of people scratching their heads no doubt, based on his speed ratings, he was easily the highest rated runner of the field so the lacklustre performance was very unexpected.

Imperial Lad $6.70 (3rd) – in my preview I said that the strength of this horse would be being on pace with a good tempo on a dry track. He was on speed and got the dry track but his speed to the 400m was almost 4L slower than his last start which was a major negative as he does not have the late speed to match it with the likes of Regardsmaree. Unfortunately, it was another case of the trainer and jockey not knowing the horse.

La Mexicana $2.90 (1st for a 5.8u return) – a really nice performance despite being around 1.5L slower than her first up win, hard the rail in the straight was the worst place to be with as much as 5L disadvantage compared to the horses that were out wide so the run was better than it appeared.

Imaging $6.90 (2nd 0.5L from a 13.8u return) – this was an exceptional performance given that he was 3WNC the entire race but Williams had no choice but to stay there, if he went back for cover he would have been absolutely no chance as he would have been a further 3-5L back. With the 2 turns at Caulfield over the 1400m, he would have run at least 5-6m further than SOA which equates to around 2L, a more economical run would have seen him win quite comfortably.

 

Summary

1 poor performance, some poor tactics and a further 13.8u beaten by less than 1L (0.5L) saw us finish behind on the day but overall I know we were on the right horse in Imaging, things just didn’t quite go our way.

 

February Results To Date

-2.2u at -27.5% POT

1 winner from 4 selections (1 selections beaten less than 1L for 13.8u)

25% Strike Rate

 

Speed Stars Service Results (since inception 11/07/2020)

+43.9u at 13.8% POT

13/28 Winning Weeks

4/7 Winning Months

2/2 Winning Quarters

Summary

1 poor performance, some poor tactics and a further 13.8u beaten by less than 1L (0.5L) saw us finish behind on the day but overall I know we were on the right horse in Imaging, things just didn’t quite go our way.

 

February Results To Date

-2.2u at -27.5% POT

1 winner from 4 selections (1 selections beaten less than 1L for 13.8u)

25% Strike Rate

 

Speed Stars Service Results (since inception 11/07/2020)

+43.9u at 13.8% POT

13/28 Winning Weeks

4/7 Winning Months

2/2 Winning Quarters

 

Long Term Model Results

73/116 Winning Days – 62.93%

18/25 Winning Months – 72.00%

8/8 Winning Quarters – 100.00%

42.1% Strike rate

+430.2u at 41.2% POT

 

Long Term Model Results Spreadsheet

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1b3FTzao9K8bX4F9gMMEytTCzdP0eH11U3HnFSehqJYo

Long Term Model Results

73/116 Winning Days – 62.93%

18/25 Winning Months – 72.00%

8/8 Winning Quarters – 100.00%

42.1% Strike rate

+430.2u at 41.2% POT

 

Long Term Model Results Spreadsheet

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1b3FTzao9K8bX4F9gMMEytTCzdP0eH11U3HnFSehqJYo