Speed Stars bets predominantly on Saturday Metro races, with a sprinkling of additional midweek & carnival bets where appropriate.
This is the ideal service for Saturday Punters who want a handful of easy 'Bet & Forget' tips to follow, with a standard set release time of 11.15am.
Speed Stars bets predominantly on Saturday Metro races, with a sprinkling of additional midweek & carnival bets where appropriate.
This is the ideal service for Saturday Punters who want a handful of easy 'Bet & Forget' tips to follow, with a standard set release time of 11.15am.
Mat Smith has been a form analyst for the last 10 years.
Mat has previously provided highly successful tipping services to other providers, including one between August 2014 and March 2016 that made 237.3 units profit at 15% POT, before the tipping organisation moved into sports data services and stopped offering horse racing tips. Mat also offered a free newsletter demonstrating how effective his speed and sectional based ratings were. Results were based on proportional stakes at SP, and between January and October 2018 that generated 62.7u profit at 18.5% POT.
Mat explains his journey and approach below.
"I started out using the 'tried and true' principles of racing, but after a few years learned that using public racing data alone did not provide a lot of value since everyone has access to it. I began to experiment with speed ratings and realised that there were not that many people using them, and there was a significant edge in speed based data when formulated using verified race and sectional times. Whilst sectional times are now being made more publicly available, times on their own are often misleading, so having access to a proper ratings database is important. The data revolution led me to start developing a model to combine key form and market based data along with speed and sectional ratings to find the right horses to analyse, and the right races to bet in. I find this works best with reliable data and good, consistent horses, so I choose to focus on Saturday Metropolitan meetings, targeting Sydney and Melbourne which is where the large majority of selections come from.
The model narrows down the number of races for me to analyse and once I have reviewed the model selections and the other horses in the race, I determine if the race represents a betting opportunity or if I move on to the next one. It is a very selective process with an average of 4-5 selections per Saturday, sometimes there are none and other days there are 10 or more, but I never make a selection that I feel is not a genuine winning chance based on the information I have available. Sometimes the model misses horses that are not popular on form or market factors, yet are strong performers from a speed perspective, so there is a small percentage of horses of this nature that make up the selections, along with some mid week blackbookers that are placed well. I used to try to beat the market but I believe now that the key to winning is to verify the market and key form factors with accurate speed ratings to find strong winning chances.
Having previously provided selections for a very profitable racing service, I understand the need to have a professional approach and treat betting like a business, and this is how I operate my service."
Starting October 2021, the Speed Stars service will take on a new look as Mat tries to avoid the large number of close calls and near misses of late.
The amount of units lost by small margins on horses who were beaten by bad luck, poor rides and Mat's 2nd/3rd rated horses has been significant and amendments are being made to change that.
Going forward selections will take on a mix of the following types:
The changes are being made to drive a higher probability of posting solid long term profitability than looking at win bets only.
The standard 11:15am release time will remain with any earlier or later release selections notified. Unit staking will vary pending on the situation and may include some at fixed odds.
Mat Smith has been a form analyst for the last 10 years.
Mat has previously provided highly successful tipping services to other providers, including one between August 2014 and March 2016 that made 237.3 units profit at 15% POT, before the tipping organisation moved into sports data services and stopped offering horse racing tips. Mat also offered a free newsletter demonstrating how effective his speed and sectional based ratings were. Results were based on proportional stakes at SP, and between January and October 2018 that generated 62.7u profit at 18.5% POT.
Mat explains his journey and approach below.
"I started out using the 'tried and true' principles of racing, but after a few years learned that using public racing data alone did not provide a lot of value since everyone has access to it. I began to experiment with speed ratings and realised that there were not that many people using them, and there was a significant edge in speed based data when formulated using verified race and sectional times. Whilst sectional times are now being made more publicly available, times on their own are often misleading, so having access to a proper ratings database is important. The data revolution led me to start developing a model to combine key form and market based data along with speed and sectional ratings to find the right horses to analyse, and the right races to bet in. I find this works best with reliable data and good, consistent horses, so I choose to focus on Saturday Metropolitan meetings, targeting Sydney and Melbourne which is where the large majority of selections come from.
The model narrows down the number of races for me to analyse and once I have reviewed the model selections and the other horses in the race, I determine if the race represents a betting opportunity or if I move on to the next one. It is a very selective process with an average of 4-5 selections per Saturday, sometimes there are none and other days there are 10 or more, but I never make a selection that I feel is not a genuine winning chance based on the information I have available. Sometimes the model misses horses that are not popular on form or market factors, yet are strong performers from a speed perspective, so there is a small percentage of horses of this nature that make up the selections, along with some mid week blackbookers that are placed well. I used to try to beat the market but I believe now that the key to winning is to verify the market and key form factors with accurate speed ratings to find strong winning chances.
Having previously provided selections for a very profitable racing service, I understand the need to have a professional approach and treat betting like a business, and this is how I operate my service."
Starting October 2021, the Speed Stars service will take on a new look as Mat tries to avoid the large number of close calls and near misses of late.
The amount of units lost by small margins on horses who were beaten by bad luck, poor rides and Mat's 2nd/3rd rated horses has been significant and amendments are being made to change that.
Going forward selections will take on a mix of the following types:
The changes are being made to drive a higher probability of posting solid long term profitability than looking at win bets only.
The standard 11:15am release time will remain with any earlier or later release selections notified. Unit staking will vary pending on the situation and may include some at fixed odds.
Mat Smith has a successful history providing winning tips to paying members. Previously rain a paid service with +237.3 units at 15% POT verified profit over just a 1.5 year period.
Ideal service for Saturday Punters who want a handful of easy 'Bet & Forget' tips to follow
Standard set release time of 11.15am each Saturday
Selected bets on other major racedays will also be provided as a bonus
Fair Odds Recording Methodology: Every bet result is recorded simply at BOB (Best Tote or official Top Fluc), a product available at most decent corporate bookmakers.
Profit Guarantee Refund, Professional Betting Education Pack, Loyalty Bonus Credits & Outstanding Customer Support including direct e-mail access to Mat Smith are available with this service.
Mat Smith has a successful history providing winning tips to paying members. Previously rain a paid service with +237.3 units at 15% POT verified profit over just a 1.5 year period.
Ideal service for Saturday Punters who want a handful of easy 'Bet & Forget' tips to follow
Standard set release time of 11.15am each Saturday
Selected bets on other major racedays will also be provided as a bonus
Fair Odds Recording Methodology: Every bet result is recorded simply at BOB (Best Tote or official Top Fluc), a product available at most decent corporate bookmakers.
Profit Guarantee Refund, Professional Betting Education Pack, Loyalty Bonus Credits & Outstanding Customer Support including direct e-mail access to Mat Smith are available with this service.