BLOGS
SPEED STARS WEEKLY REVIEW - 10TH APRIL
Wednesday, 14 April 2021
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Week in Review
Saturday 10th April
-4.5u at -100% POT
0 winners from 4 selections (4 betting races)
0% Strike Rate
Winners: Nil
Comments: Frustratingly close to a +12u day.
Selection Review
Tier 1
Caulfield
Race 4 Lesage $5.50 (UNP) – she drifted out late in betting which was a clear indication that all was not right with the horse and she ran accordingly showing absolutely nothing in the straight. Her rating over the last 400m was 10L slower than last start and 13L slower than her first up run where she was sensational in both runs, something was definitely not right.
Tier 2
Caulfield
Race 2 Native Soldier $9.00 (UNP) – despite his clear level of ability he just didn’t turn up as was indicated by the massive betting drift, his performance was 7L slower than what he produced when winning the Christmas Stks at his last start back in 2018.
Randwick
Race 2 Another One $10.00 (2nd 0.5L from a 5u return) – it was a tough run 3 wide the trip where the favourite had the fence the whole way. He ran a better last 400/200 than the winner but just had to work too much in the run to get there.
Race 8 Masked Crusader $7.00 (2nd 2L from a 7u return) – a poorly judged ride from McEvoy here and a well-deserved spray from Wayne Hawkes, the pace was very slow for a race of this class and Nature Strip had every possible favour. Masked Crusader was held up and impeded behind Libertini and when he finally got clear he was scintillating but it was all too late. I have included the margin in this result as I have 100% confidence that MC was the better horse and we will see this in a race like The Everest.
Summary
Another frustrating day with results not in our favour with some back luck and ordinary rides, sure I could have sent out horses like Anamoe who was a clear top pick, but sending out odds on favourites is not what this service is about.
April Results to Date
-4.1u at -39% POT
1 winner from 11 selections (9 betting races, 2 horses beaten by less than 1L for a 10.9u return)
9% Strike Rate
Speed Stars Service Results (since inception 11/07/2020)
+44.6u at 12.2% POT
17/35 Winning Weeks
5/9 Winning Months (missed 2 weeks in March 2021 due to family reasons resulting in a loss)
3/3 Winning Quarters
Long Term Model Results
77/123 Winning Days – 62.60%
19/28 Winning Months – 67.86%
9/9 Winning Quarters – 100.00%
40.9% Strike rate
+430.9u at 39.5% POT
Long Term Model Results Spreadsheet
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1b3FTzao9K8bX4F9gMMEytTCzdP0eH11U3HnFSehqJYo
