BLOGS
SPEED STARS WEEK IN REVIEW - 27TH FEBRUARY
Tuesday, 02 March 2021
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Saturday 27th February
-8u at -100% POT
0 winners from 4 selections
0% Strike Rate
Winners: Nil
Comments: Another day where the horse I was very keen on did not perform to expectation and we missed a19.2u return by 0.2L.
Selection Review
Water Dove $2.60 (2nd 1L from a 5.2u return) – this horse was a clear standout on all aspects of my model and despite being slowly away and urged to lead, she was very disappointing over the final 200m.
Platoon $8.70 (3rd 1.75L from a 17.4u return) – he ended up back in the field off a slow early speed and just couldn’t get going early enough. He did run the 2nd best last 800m, 2nd best last 400m and best last 200m ratings of the meeting.
Indian Pacific $9.60 (2nd 0.2L from a 19.2u return) – so close but yet so far, he had Fabergino’s measure from a speed perspective over the last 400m but he looked to get a bit lost down the straight. A hit out at The Valley over 955-1000 might be on the agenda.
Seminole Brave (UNP) – he was well supported late and had every chance but he looked to be going backwards over the final 200m. When I reviewed the lane speed over the final 200m, his lane was the slowest of the day and around 6L slower than the extreme outside lanes where the winner came from which was a likely contributor to the performance.
Summary
Four selections for two 2nd’s and a 3rd and 24.4u beaten 1L or less, no results on the day but I am not disappointed in the selections considering there were some massive upsets on the day.
February Results Final
+10.2u at 32% POT
5 winner from 16 selections (4 selections beaten 1L or less for 64.2u)
31% Strike Rate
Speed Stars Service Results (since inception 11/07/2020)
+56.3u at 16.5% POT
15/31 Winning Weeks
5/8 Winning Months
2/2 Winning Quarters
Long Term Model Results
75/119 Winning Days – 63.03%
19/26 Winning Months – 73.08%
8/8 Winning Quarters – 100.00%
41.9% Strike rate
+442.6u at 41.5% POT
Long Term Model Results Spreadsheet
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1b3FTzao9K8bX4F9gMMEytTCzdP0eH11U3HnFSehqJYo
